Sam AltmanCEO of OpenAI; writes dated essays on AGI, superintelligence and compute.
We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents "join the workforce" and materially change the output of companies.
Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).
Normalized claim
In 2025 AI agents will join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.
Confidence
medium (55%)
Deadline
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution rule
Hit if by end of 2025 multiple large companies reported in earnings or filings that autonomous AI agents materially changed their output (headcount, throughput or revenue attributed to agents). Miss if agents remained pilots and assistants.
Crowd vote
No crowd votes were recorded.
Voting closed at the deadline.
More from Sam Altman
2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights. 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.
OPEN
2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights. 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.
OPEN