U
Sam Altman
@sama · X
CEO of OpenAI; writes dated essays on AGI, superintelligence and compute.
No resolved calls yet. 1 overdue.
Is this you? Claim this scorecard.
Sign in with X to claimOn the record since Jan 2025
—
Hit rate
nothing resolved yet
—
Last 10 calls
trend needs 15 resolved
—
Brier score
0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip
20253 calls0 right · 0 wrong · 3 open—hit rate
2025
3 calls
0 right · 0 wrong · 3 open
—
hit rate
2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights. 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.OPEN · 50%
Jun 20252026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights. 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.OPEN · 60%
Jun 2025We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents "join the workforce" and materially change the output of companies.retroDUE · 55%
Jan 2025
Jun 20252026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights. 2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.OPEN · 60%
Jun 2025We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents "join the workforce" and materially change the output of companies.retroDUE · 55%
Jan 2025