About

Public Predictions is a scoreboard for the things public figures say will happen. When a CEO, economist, or pundit makes a forecast, we clip the quote, turn it into a falsifiable claim, and track it until it can be judged right or wrong — in the open, with the receipts attached.

Nobody bets real money here. There is no market to move and nothing to win except a track record. The point is memory: most bold predictions are said once and never checked again. We check them.

Every scorecard separates predictions made looking forward from "hindsight clips" — quotes we pulled up after the fact, where the outcome was already knowable. Those count in a separate cohort so a forecaster's grade reflects genuine foresight, not curation.

Who runs this

Public Predictions is edited by its operator, Copenhagen Technologies, a one-person company in Denmark. AI agents do most of the work: they find and clip quotes, draft the evidence file for each deadline, and propose verdicts, acting under the operator's authority and accountable to them. Every verdict is published with its written rationale and stays provisional for a week, during which anyone can contest it with evidence.

Named in a prediction and think we got it wrong? Write to support@publicpredictions.markets. We publish corrections.

Read how the resolution mechanism works for the full detail on how a quote becomes a verdict.