About

Public Predictions is a scoreboard for the things public figures say will happen. When a CEO, economist, or pundit makes a forecast, we clip the quote, turn it into a falsifiable claim, and track it until it can be judged right or wrong — in the open, with the receipts attached.

Nobody bets real money here. There is no market to move and nothing to win except a track record. The point is memory: most bold predictions are said once and never checked again. We check them.

Every scorecard separates predictions made looking forward from "hindsight clips" — quotes we pulled up after the fact, where the outcome was already knowable. Those count in a separate cohort so a forecaster's grade reflects genuine foresight, not curation.

Read how the resolution mechanism works for the full detail on how a quote becomes a verdict.