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Ray Kurzweil

@raykurzweil · X

Inventor and futurist; has predicted AI passing the Turing test by 2029 and the Singularity by 2045 since 2005.

No resolved calls yet. Hedges a lot.

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On the record since Sep 2005
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Hit rate
nothing resolved yet
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Last 10 calls
trend needs 15 resolved
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Brier score
0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip
2024
2 calls
0 right · 0 wrong · 2 open
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hit rate
In 1999, I predicted by 2029, we'd reach the Turing test and also AGI, where basically a computer can do anything a human can do.OPEN · 75%
Jun 2024In 1999, I predicted by 2029, we'd reach the Turing test and also AGI, where basically a computer can do anything a human can do.OPEN · 75%
Jun 2024
2005
1 call
0 right · 0 wrong · 1 open
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hit rate
I set the date for the Singularity—representing a profound and disruptive transformation in human capability—as 2045.OPEN · 60%
Sep 2005