Geoffrey Hinton
U

Geoffrey Hinton

@geoffreyhinton · X

Deep learning pioneer, Turing Award and Nobel laureate; known for the 2016 radiologists call and later AI-risk warnings.

No resolved calls yet. 1 overdue.

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On the record since Nov 2016
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Hit rate
nothing resolved yet
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Last 10 calls
trend needs 15 resolved
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Brier score
0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip
2023
1 call
0 right · 0 wrong · 1 open
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hit rate
I now predict 5 to 20 years but without much confidence. We live in very uncertain times. It's possible that I am totally wrong about digital intelligence overtaking us. Nobody really knows which is why we should worry now.OPEN · 50%
May 2023
2016
1 call
0 right · 0 wrong · 1 open
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hit rate
People should stop training radiologists now. It's just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists, because it's going to be able to get a lot more experience.retroDUE · 90%
Nov 2016