SB
Steve BallmerCEO of Microsoft from 2000 to 2014, now owner of the Los Angeles Clippers.
There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance. It's a $500 subsidized item.
Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).
Normalized claim
The iPhone will not gain significant market share in mobile phones.
Confidence
high (95%)
Deadline
Dec 31, 2012 · inferred
Resolution rule
Miss if the iPhone held at least 10 percent of global smartphone unit shipments in any quarter by end of 2012 (IDC/Gartner). Hit otherwise.
Crowd vote
No crowd votes were recorded.
Voting closed at the deadline.