Nate SilverStatistician, founder of FiveThirtyEight and the Silver Bulletin, known for probabilistic election forecasts.
Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model.
Normalized claim
Hillary Clinton will win the 2016 United States presidential election.
Confidence
Said 71%
Deadline
Nov 8, 2016
Resolution rule
Hit if Clinton wins the Electoral College on 2016-11-08. Miss otherwise. Scored at the stated 71 percent.
Crowd vote
No crowd votes were recorded.
Voting closed at the deadline.
Forecaster
Nate Silver
Statistician, founder of FiveThirtyEight and the Silver Bulletin, known for probabilistic election forecasts.
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