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Michael Burry
Michael BurryFounder of Scion Asset Management, the "Big Short" investor who called the 2007 subprime mortgage collapse.
DUE

Sell.

X (tweet since deleted, quoted by CNBC) · Jan 31, 2023 · source · archived snapshot · hindsight clip

Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).

Normalized claim
US stocks will fall from their 31 January 2023 level over the following year.
Confidence
high (75%)
Deadline
Jan 31, 2024 · inferred
Resolution rule
Hit if the S&P 500 closed on 2024-01-31 below its 2023-01-31 close of 4,076. Miss otherwise.
Crowd vote
No crowd votes were recorded.

Voting closed at the deadline.

More from Michael Burry

People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude. #FlyingPigs360

DUE