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MZ
Mark ZuckerbergFounder and CEO of Meta; has put dates on AI engineers and "personal superintelligence".
DUE

Probably in 2025, we at Meta, as well as the other companies that are basically working on this, are going to have an AI that can effectively be a sort of midlevel engineer that you have at your company that can write code.

The Joe Rogan Experience (reported by Business Insider) · Jan 10, 2025 · source · archived snapshot · hindsight clip

Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).

Normalized claim
In 2025 Meta will have an AI that can effectively be a mid-level engineer writing code.
Confidence
medium (65%)
Deadline
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution rule
Hit if by end of 2025 Meta disclosed an AI system doing the end-to-end work of a mid-level engineer in production, with humans only reviewing. Miss otherwise.
Crowd vote
No crowd votes were recorded.

Voting closed at the deadline.

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Starting next year, we expect future Llama models to become the most advanced in the industry.

DUE