JH
Jensen HuangFounder and CEO of Nvidia; makes dated claims on AI capability and data-centre spending.
If I gave an AI … every single test that you can possibly imagine, you make that list of tests and put it in front of the computer science industry, and I'm guessing in five years time, we'll do well on every single one.
Stanford SIEPR Economic Summit · Mar 7, 2024 · source · archived snapshot
Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).
Normalized claim
Within five years, by March 2029, AI will do well on every test a human can take.
Confidence
medium (60%)
Deadline
due Mar 7, 2029 (inferred)
Resolution rule
Hit if by March 2029 AI systems score at or above the human passing standard on every major professional and academic examination (bar, medical licensing, CPA, olympiads, graduate entrance exams), per published evaluations. Miss if any major exam category remains unpassed.
Crowd vote
Vote to see the crowd.
Your call
Locked at the deadline. No odds, no money — just your record.
More from Jensen Huang
We are at the beginning of an industrial revolution that will transform every industry. We see $3 trillion to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spend by the end of the decade.
OPEN