JH
Jensen HuangFounder and CEO of Nvidia; makes dated claims on AI capability and data-centre spending.
If I gave an AI ... every single test that you can possibly imagine, you make that list of tests and put it in front of the computer science industry, and I'm guessing in five years time, we'll do well on every single one.
Reuters, reporting Huang's talk at the Stanford SIEPR Economic Summit · Mar 1, 2024 · source · archived snapshot
Normalized claim
Within five years, by March 2029, AI will do well on every test a human can take.
Confidence
Sounded fairly sure
Deadline
due Mar 1, 2029 (our reading)
Resolution rule
Hit if by March 2029 AI systems score at or above the human passing standard on every major professional and academic examination (bar, medical licensing, CPA, olympiads, graduate entrance exams), per published evaluations. Miss if any major exam category remains unpassed.
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