Ilya SutskeverCo-founder of Safe Superintelligence and former OpenAI chief scientist.
Our goal is to solve the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment in four years.
OpenAI, "Introducing Superalignment" (co-led by Sutskever) · Jul 5, 2023 · source
Admitted by the site's editor alone — Seeded by the site owner at launch; single-operator admission (ADR-0012).
Normalized claim
The core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment will be solved by July 2027.
Confidence
medium (50%)
Deadline
due Jul 5, 2027 (inferred)
Resolution rule
Hit if by July 2027 OpenAI or Sutskever's Safe Superintelligence publishes a method broadly accepted by alignment researchers as solving scalable oversight of superhuman systems. Miss otherwise; the OpenAI Superalignment team was dissolved in May 2024.
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Your call
Locked at the deadline. No odds, no money — just your record.