Demis HassabisCo-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind, Nobel laureate in chemistry; forecasts AGI within a decade.
In the next five to ten years, I think.
60 Minutes, CBS News (asked when AGI will arrive) · Apr 20, 2025 · source · archived snapshot
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Normalized claim
Artificial general intelligence will arrive between 2030 and 2035.
Confidence
medium (55%)
Deadline
due Apr 20, 2035 (inferred)
Resolution rule
Hit if within the window major labs and academies broadly recognise an AI system as matching human experts across cognitive tasks. Miss if that happens earlier or not by April 2035.
Crowd vote
Vote to see the crowd.
Your call
Locked at the deadline. No odds, no money — just your record.
More from Demis Hassabis
I think maybe in the next 10, 15 years we can actually have a real crack at solving all disease.
OPEN